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‘Agniveer’  scheme and cues for bureaucratic revamp

 

The corridors of power in India launched a new scheme “ Aganiveer” on 14th of June 2022. The scheme is  a major defence policy reform in the Human Resource Policy of the Army, Navy, and Air Force. It is  stated to be  unique in its recruitment process aimed at changing complexion of Indian army by recruiting and replenishing a young workforce of men and women in the age group of 17-22 every 5th year . The free buys generated for the country and the government being periodical job generation  ,  availability of a trained & disciplined and  ‘raring to go’ segment of workforce . The average age as of now,   of an infantry man  being  35-36 compared to …….

 

However , any change especially made by government in India , more often than not,  meets with endless  resistance.  Of course, these days , in no time , ‘more than ‘needed publicity and mass  support from various interest groups and  pro people , becomes so easily available , thanks to Social media  . And then , there are disgruntled and opportunist political elements, sitting in ever readiness to add fuel to the fire .  While popular  media sitting so  hungry for TRP and   24*7  fanning the popular sentiments by  engaged in raging debate  and post- mortem the subject more often than not , beyond its recognition.

 

The scheme which is being called a Tour on Duty or TOD has  precedent in  thirty countries of the world, albeit  in different forms . Out of these thirty , ten countries have it for a compulsory service in army by its citizens.   These include China, Israel, Sweden, Ukraine, Norway, North Korea, Morocco, Cape Verde, Chad, Eritrea.

 

It’s this TOD complexion given  to the scheme that is incurring adverse reaction from certain section of  youth . Those questioning and suspecting TOD elements of  the scheme are mainly  raising  issues of youth being left in lurch after four years . Instability in forces , shortage of skilled men power, wastage of training and other resources leaving 75 % of those on TOD almost clueless and producing mercenaries and leaving them on loose in society , while militarization of society are some of the  points of concern to those opposing the Scheme.

 

 

However , when looked at and evaluated from  broader national  perspective , everyone involved seems to be a better off  : the Soldier  , the Service  and the Society .

 

To begin with candidates, who otherwise after 10th or 12th standard, may be compelled to go for  their paid education , may by enrolling in this scheme , would  get free Certificate or Degrees with well-crafted ‘hands on training’  and exposure.  The thrill and adventure one may  get  besides the pride one may have  in serving the nation, are unparallel perks on offer .   The candidates , post TOD , may have better  employment opportunities in certain fields like para military , security and administration  eamong others    due to soft skills like   communication , discipline  , flexibility team work , adaptability , dependability   , work ethic and integrity  they may acquire  and that too   at such a young age . This is not withstanding the pay and perks including attractive post quitting Sewa Nidhi package . And , last not least , 25 % of them , may get absorbed in the service .

 

Of course,  there may be certain challenges for those  75 %  who will be made to call it a quit after 4 years . It will be more so , when it comes to adapting from Military Ethics to Civilian Ethic of living and working . The regimentation , strict  chain of command and complete unwavering obedience are the mainstay in  Military ,while  the competition , continuous question , playing devil’s advocate , thinking out of box are considered to be virtues in Corporate life  or in most private organization . Surely , this transition may not come easy to them . Therefore , it will be a desirable policy imperative to set up an institutional Military Transition assistance and career help  for smooth changeover .

 

As for the forces , they may  acquire a very  youthful and dynamic profile .  It is envisaged that the average age profile of the Indian Armed forces would come down by about 4-5 years by the implementation of this scheme. Make the armed forces much leaner and younger: For India’s over 13-lakh strong armed forces, the current average age profile is 32 years. It is envisaged that it will come down by about 4-5 years by implementation of this scheme. A youthful armed forces will allow them to be easily trained for new technologies. Reduce the ever swelling defence pension bill which in 2022-23  stands  at Rs 1,19,696 crore which is about 30% of the rest of the defence budget .

Availability of well-disciplined and skilled youth with military ethos in civil society. Country gets a constant supply of “future-ready” soldiers. Though , certain critics believe that the idea of having soldiers for such a short duration doesn’t tally with the cost of training   The Navy spends around Rs 27 lakh per cadet, the IAF 039 lakh and the Army close to Rs16 lakh. Though , it will now be for  a shorter period , yet  can be the basic requirements and standards of training be done away with ? A senior officer from concerned corridors of power said: “While the entire exercise is aimed to reduce cost (pension and salary bill), letting trained soldiers go after spending a massive amount on their training does not make any sense.”   But , it makes sense when a wholistic view and not the partial  or truncated view is  the taken in the matter .

 

However , the outrage against the scheme which is being seen is  also not to be undermined . At  the core of the outrage is the angst and expectations and hopes harboured by those young men and women who dreamt of army service. However, their  dreams got placed on back burner for last 3 years due to Covid and halting of recruitment in Army. In nutshell , it’s not about the scheme but about the timings and the manner  in which it  being  implemented.

 

A good public policy design involves a minimum of four steps : 1. Problem setting  which among other things include mapping stakeholders and opinion ; 2.Policy formulation by defining relevant strategies , defining possible actions , calculating impacts ; 3.Scenario analysis and 4. Decision . In the instant case , the policy makers didn’t seem to have done  a very thorough job at  mapping the stakeholders especially the probable candidates and their opinions. Also , at the policy formulation stage , calculating impacts   also seems to have been given a miss . Also the timings of the announcement of the scheme were perhaps not that good especially when the country is recovering from the adverse socio economic impact of Covid . And the employment figures are not that encouraging .

In the realm of policy , it always calls for testing through a pilot before a major intervention is done . In the instant case too , it would have been a desirable proposition .

Nevertheless , the scheme has not been modified to accommodate some aspirations of those raging and resisting ; and the recruitment exercise has also been started , its only , the time will tell , how it fared .

 

When seen from National perspective , it surely, it is  a win-win scheme which needs to be implemented wholeheartedly , in most transparent fashion . As a matter of fact  , it’s high time that it is  replicated in other areas like Police Services , Forest Services , in Universities and colleges  and  in different rungs of bureaucracy especially  in Group A to catch them young and unpolluted and bring in young blood and fresh perspective besides UpToDate skill sets like Data Sciences , Business Analyses , Artificial intelligence , Coding , Block Chain , Machine Learning , Emotional Intelligence and so on and so forth . A Quick survey of  Indian bureaucracy will reveal as to how much it lacks in all these skill sets, most of them having been erstwhile Anthropology or Sanskrit of Hindi or Social Science undergraduates  with exception of a very few Engineers and doctors .  Is somebody listening ?

 

 

On the hind side

 

There are also those who feel that the scheme would lead to demotivated soldiers and could even produce mercenaries.

 

List Of Countries Who Already Implemented Tour Of Duty Scheme

Though , it’s beyond the call of common sense as to how one could even think along these lines in today’s time .

https://www.idsa.in/policybrief/defence-pension-india-us-uk-230420

https://policyvisuals.eu/policy-design/

 

Artificial intelligence (AI) is here to stay, not just to stay but to rule, in the times to come. Its going to be a major game changer and a huge disruptor in every arena of human life - health care, politics, education, defense , legal and executive systems et al. If the experts take is to be believed then while it aims to make human life easier and happier, it has all the potential to be diabolic , self-perpetuating and self serving. According to some , it may prove to be a new techno-demon unleashed to make human lives complicated with its infinite capabilities to erode democracy , trust and civil liberties . So, when Elon Musk says “AI is far more dangerous than nukes, ” it needs to be taken seriously . Stephen Hawking had similar views when he told an audience in Portugal that AI’s impact could be cataclysmic unless its rapid development is strictly and ethically controlled. “Unless we learn how to prepare for, and avoid, the potential risks…AI could be the worst event in the history of our civilization,” he warned. Research fellow Stuart Armstrong from the Future of Life Institute terms AI as an “extinction risk” were it to go rogue. Even Nuclear war has relatively lesser risk because it would “kill only a relatively small proportion of the planet. “If AI went bad, and 95 percent of humans were killed,” according to him . There are already signs on the horizon when AI has showed utmost bias towards people of colour or aged . Therefore , there is an immediate need for the governments to come up with an all-encompassing Policy and Regulatory Framework aimed at building an enabling and flourishing echo system towards cultivating and harnessing a responsive and ethical AI. And the time starts now .

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Created By Akshay Kharade At Widespread Solutions

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